[HOF Probability] - Active NBA Players with 50% chance or greater of being inducted into the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame - Per Basketball Reference . Joel Embiid was always plotting for leave-no-doubt dominance. It's a little tough to see at times, but maybe Embiid is the closest," Webber explained. For the Hall of Fame problem, we tried to use as many predictor variables as we could. Houston Rockets: James Harden and Russell Westbrook. The Knicks have cycled through rebuild after rebuild, so making a Hall of Fame case for any player is a tough sell right now. In his fifth season, at just the age of 23, he's already at 7,439 points. Nevertheless, another dominant season at age 33 with a sixth All-Star appearance will surely help increase his odds. Every hall-eligible player who has made at least five All-NBA teams (First, Second or Third) has made the hall except Amare Stoudemire and Kevin Johnson. (For the record, AD and Dame were in our NBA 75 as well.). Joel Embiid gets around Nic Claxton for the tough finish plus a foul. Embiid was ruled out about 30 minutes before the game. While his BBRHOFP is low, its higher than Goberts. Pistons' Nerlens Noel says he takes pride in helping Sixers' Joel Embiid develop into a future Hall of Famer. Dr. A's weekly risers and fallers: Jeremy Sochan, Christian Wood make the list, NBA Power Rankings: Kevin Durant's return could rock the West, Simmons, Embiid 'duke it out' before wild crowd, Kevin Durant reacts to Nets-Sixers game on Twitter, They said it! Doncic could be a lock by the time he's old enough to rent a car. He is class personified. Aldridge and Griffin are at the tail ends of their respective careers. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. He is just under 20,000 points for his career and sits in the top 75 in points, rebounds, blocks, field goals and career PER. Just 22 players in league history have earned All-NBA honors for seasons completed before their 23rd birthday, and the majority of them are in the Hall or headed there when eligible. Leonard prefers to keep his focus on the day-to-day process and not get ahead of himself when it comes to his career. Members of the Hall of Fame are marked with an asterisk (*) On Saturday, Embiid would record his 14th game with a 40-10-5 stat line, breaking a tie with Hall of Fame center Wilt Chamberlain for the most such games in Sixers history. Durant has a nice sequential list of achievements: four scoring titles, three Olympic golds, two Finals MVPs (and two titles) and one regular season MVP. His two titles at Florida could help any candidacy, too Iguodala, famously, has a Finals MVP on his resume. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 6:46PM. Before Simmons injured his back, the smart money would have been on him to be more durable in the long run -- and he very well may still be. Devonte' Graham's sophomore season has been one of the league's biggest surprises, while PJ Washington has had a nice rookie year. He always has been. 2. Harden has staked a claim as the best scorer of his generation, averaging at least 25 points in each of his eight seasons in Houston and 30-plus in the past three. Twenty-two. Luka has played four seasons and hes been named to three All-NBA First Teams. Beyond him, though, the Thunder are pretty far away from Springfield. 10 . J. 'Whatever seed we are, we're ready': Is there room for Cleveland among the East elite? Still, the DPOYs and the All-NBAs make him a near-lock. He can dominate in the paint, he can step out and bury three-pointers, and he is blessed with . Congratulations on your 6th ASG. His totals in points (460), rebounds (129) and blocks (23) make him one of four players in league history with such numbers over 13 outings, joining himself (earlier this season), and Hall of Famers Moses Malone, Bob McAdoo and Shaquille ONeal. Bam Adebayo is still just 22 and made his first All-Star team in February. But those accolades have somehow been dimmed ever-so-slightly by his recent behavior. Our choice for every NBA team, The paths of KD and Kyrie: How one month changed three franchises and two superstar legacies, Morant to miss two games after video with gun, Curry, Iguodala probable to return vs. Lakers, Sources: Suns hiring Pistons' Bartelstein as CEO, Grizzlies' Clarke tore Achilles, out for season, Kerr touts 5-0 homestand: Dubs 'turned a corner', KD: Mavs tilt, Kyrie meeting 'just another game', Sources: Dragic joining Bucks for rest of season, Nets filling out big-man depth with Noel signing. Sure, it's premature to discuss Morant's odds before he even finishes his phenomenal rookie season. This represents Embiids fifth career Player of the Month award, breaking a tie with Hall of Famer Allen Iverson for the most such honors in 76ers franchise history. Because he was the first one out, Manning will be the first one of the five contemporaries to appear on Pro Football . Now, if he leads the league in scoring, thats a different argument. Joel Embiid has 29 points, 14 rebounds and six assists as Philadelphia beats Charlotte, 144-114. . as well as foreign players and WNBA stars who are also worthy of induction. Basketball Reference's Hall of Fame probability gives Love nearly a 75% chance of enshrinement, which feels about right. You shouldn't be. Another three or four good seasons after that, and Booker is looking at flirting with 30,000. Whats not great is winning Most Improved. But is it enough to elevate him to the Hall of Fame one day? question "If this player retired today, what is the probability he would (Wait a minute, Rob, this sounds familiar. Apparently, it wasnt a question exclusive to me. That's not even a question, Embiid has been in MVP conversations for the past 3 seasons, multiple time all star and has his team either as a contender or a dark horse every season since 2019. With the induction of the 2020 Hall of Fame class on Saturday, now is the time to look at current and former members of the Philadelphia 76ers who have a chance at someday making the Hall of Fame. No . I could see him making it because of his early accomplishments, but it wouldnt surprise me to see him wait a while before getting the call. He hasn't even come close, really, to scratching the surface. He also needs 1,884 points to go from No. To find the predicted probability of Hall of Fame election, do the following: P (HoF election) = 1 / (1 + exp (- (2.71054))) = 93.8%. I combined a couple of categories from last year here. I already ran through the numbers in anticipation of this a week ago following Inside the NBAs expert picks, and I have to say I still believe DeRozan has just narrowly edged out the competition and deserves his place at this years All-Star festivities. Of the active players, nine are locks because of their MVPs, scoring titles and/or accumulation of points. Active, could see it happening: LaMarcus Aldridge, Bradley Beal, Blake Griffin, Al Horford, Andre Iguodala, Kevin Love, Rajon Rondo. We'll go through an example using Tony Parker following the 2013-14 season. chuck swirsky (@ctsbulls) February 3, 2023. Embiid finished with 27 points but shot just 6 of 18 from the field in the 137-133 victory over the Brooklyn Nets. Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic lead NBA quotes of the week, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. he will be elected to the Hall of Fame, as it stands now, is 93.8%. Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers. The Hall of Fame proposition for James is a matter of when, not if. The other two, Dikembe Mutombo and Ben Wallace, are in. That panelist noted, essentially, Too soon. (For the record, I had Joki on my NBA 75 ballot, but more tellingly, he didnt make the NBAs 75th Anniversary team either, which featured every prior NBA MVP except for Rose. Walker has already made four All-Star teams and an All-NBA team. No. Weve already established the MVPs as a gold standard for inclusion into the Hall, but what about Defensive Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year and Most Improved? Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Subscribe to Stathead Basketball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Basketball Reference Database. Despite the Bulls not being very good this season, opposing coaches clearly possess a lot of respect for DeMars game and were always going to vote in his favor. Standing 7-foot-2 and 280 pounds with guard-like skills, Embiid is unique for the center position. Which active players are headed to the Hall? Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 6:46PM. Of the players who aren't in the Hall of Fame due to eligibility . Now he appears to be a near lock for the Hall. What it do YouTube? His other accolades are numerous: four MVPs, four Finals MVPs, eight straight Finals appearances, 10 Finals in total, one scoring title and one assist title at the age of 35, all while leading three different franchises to NBA championships. After finishing 4th in the players vote (more than any reserve outside of Jaylen Brown) and garnering the 6th most fan votes, it was always obvious that DeMar is highly regarded around the league. Data Provided By Hes a five-time All-Star, four-time All-NBA Second Teamer, three-time All-Defensive Second Teamer, and was on the All-Rookie First Team in 2016. If we ever reassess our NBA 75, Joki will undoubtedly make it. As result, playing time can be hard to get. But the only other players to average at least 17 points and six assists as a 20-year-old rookie are Magic Johnson, Isiah Thomas and Trae Young. Lakers, Randle Manhandle Hapless Sixers on Allen Iverson Hall of Fame Night. This bodes well for Dwight Howard and Rudy Gobert, who have each won the award three times. Our player pool includes players who have played a minimum of 400 NBA games and were retired by If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. He has a title, three All-NBA nods, seven All-Star Games, an All-Star Game MVP, a Rookie of the Year award and reached the hallowed 50-40-90 mark in 2021. Surprised? Wednesday's game against the Nets is also the first time Embiid faced Ben Simmons since he was traded from Philly to Brooklyn along with Seth Curry, Andre Drummond 2023 first-round pick, 2027 first-round pick (top-eight protected) in exchange for James Harden, and Paul Millsap. When his teammate JJ Redick appeared on ESPN's Get Up on Wednesday, he was asked what Williamson would look like if he reached his full potential. Free shipping for many products! There are 10 active players here, and all of them look hall-bound. Charles Barkley 8 Seasons in PHI - Averaged 23.3 points, 11.6 rebounds, 1.7 steals in 610 games NBA's Top 50, NBA's Top 75, 4x All-NBA 1st, 6x All-Star Inducted in 2006. NBA Previews. And as his skill level develops and as the game slows down a little bit for him, he's gonna be even better, which is scary, for sure.". We put Gasol in the is he or isnt he retired? basket last year. His 10 All-Star appearances, six All-NBA picks and legendary international career for USA Basketball (as "Olympic Melo") make Anthony a certain Hall of Famer. Just to name a few of the badges and its rebounding is high enough to win most boards.Feel free to check out the build and let me know what you think about it down below in the comments.Don't forget to Like, Comment, and Subscribe.Also, hit me up on my socials.https://twitter.com/AMR10YThttps://www.instagram.com/alvinmr_10/twitch.tv/amr__10#2k23 #nba2k23 #nba2kSupport the stream: https://streamlabs.com/amr101 joel embiid hall of fame probability. In fact, Embiid led the entire league in points, finishing as the first center to win the NBA scoring title since Shaquille ONeal in 1999-2000. That includes the most prolific scoring season since Michael Jordan's 1987 campaign. 400 NBA games played. Anything he does in Brooklyn and beyond is just adding to a highlight reel that is already Hall of Fame-ready. In one of very few silver linings to the Chicago Bulls 2022-23 season, DeMar DeRozans selection to the All-Star Team as a reserve has been a welcome distraction from the teams struggling season. Tatum, too, has been to three All-Star Games and has made two All-NBA teams, joining Booker on the First Team last season. the predicted probability of Hall of Fame election for a particular George has six All-NBA teams to his credit, seven All-Star Games and one Most Improved Player award. Anthony is also ninth in career points. It's wise to find a build that finds its own identity as these two have found. Cash, who already has been elected to the Women's Basketball Hall of Fame, is currently an . Lowry has a title, an All-NBA nod, six All-Star appearances and is 81st all-time in Win Shares. Hall of Fame Players. Maybe Rose could pull a late-career renaissance a la Grant Hill. That's why Embiid transferred to The Rock after one year at Montverde. Go ahead and book the 2024 Hall of Fame announcement, because even if Carter's wave goodbye on March 11 was it for him, he'll be in that class. Aaron Gordon continues to wow fans with his dunks and improved game. But now that he hasnt played an NBA game since 2019, hell be in the Hall. When it's said and done for Booker, there's an excellent chance he's going to be in the top 20 all time in scoring. Hell be in Springfield next year with the other guys on this list: Gasol, Nowitzki and Wade, the last two having a Finals MVP to their credit with Dirk winning an MVP in 2007 and Wade winning a scoring title in 2009. Among the most discussed snubs in the East are James Harden, Pascal Siakam, Trae Young, and Jalen Brunson, three of whom all qualify as guards and share that designation with DeRozan. Rondo is a name that came up a lot in the comments last year, so lets look: hes a three-time assist champ, a steals champ and a two-time NBA champ. Number of championships is a strong predictor, as well, along with the player's height. Thats not bad. Philadelphia 76ers big man Joel Embiid has been on a tear all season. And when a blue-ribbon panel of players, coaches and media think youre one of the 76-best players in league history, that body of work bodes well for your Hall of Fame candidacy. robot dreams by isaac asimov answers; skycity staff intranet. Embiid is getting . Winning the NBA's ultimate defensive honor multiple times doesn't guarantee a spot in Springfield, as Mark Eaton and Ben Wallace can attest. Embiid could retire right now and he would make the hall of fame on a down year. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Joel Embiid Did All Of Basketball. Garnett spent 21 seasons in the NBA, starting his career . While the Stonecutters of the basketball hall have their reasons, these are my interpretations of an NBA players body of work. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Yes, Jayson Tatum is a young, rising star. After his first MVP season, Joki had played 453 regular-season games in six seasons. This weekend the NBA is enshrining the class of 2021 into the basketball Hall of Fame. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. There are coaches and contributors at all levels of the game, "I was OK tonight," Embiid said. Denver Nuggets' Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.1 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 10 assists through 44 starts this season, and the two-time MVP. Its hard not to see these making plenty more All-NBA teams and appearances deep into the postseason. They were trying to run the doors for Joel Embiid. Only five hall-eligible players Marion, Billups, Larry Nance Sr., Terry Porter and Eddie Jones are not in the hall. Theres only one player in NBA history who has more First Team All-NBA nods and is not in the hall: poor Max Zaslofsky. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Why did I select those honors to highlight potential future Hall of Famers? Everyone else is either active or outside of their hall window, and each active one, from Giannis to Dwyane Wade, will be in the hall someday. Hes seventh all time in assists and 10th in steals. This marks his sixth trip to the All-Star Game, adding to an impressive resume that includes over 20,000 points and three All-NBA selections. January 11, 2023 7:30 am ET. Join our linker program. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Embiid's fifth careers Player of the Month award breaks a tie with Hall of Fame guard Allen Iverson for the most such honors in franchise history. A few of my FanSided colleagues pleaded their case as to why their own players deserved to qualify in DeMars place including Mike Lucianoat Raptors Rapture and Christopher Kline of The Sixer Sense but I will, unfortunately, have to rebuke their claims here. Curry will go down as the best shooter in the history of basketball. Mentioned this above: MVP, Finals MVP, scoring champ, top 50 in scoring. black and gray ink. Only Tracy McGrady is in the hall. Or write about sports? Do you know how long LeBron will hold that record? As for the other future Hall of Famers playing in the NBA, lets go through some of the stats (regular, advanced, and new to the equation) in an attempt to predict an active players future credentials. Of course, some fans would claim their players were snubbed from this years All-Star Game and DeMar did not deserve the honor. For a proud Orlando native, this really hurts. His BBRHOFP is 85.7 and is 12th among active players in that category. I also chose those two for another reason: because the halls selection process is famously secretive. to predict the probability of a success given certain values of the If Harden can help navigate the Sixers to the Finals this season and overcome his myriad playoff demons, itll only further his status in Springfield. Hall Of Fame Bully. He has redefined the approach to aging gracefully, going from arguably the greatest high flier of all time to a knockdown floor spacer in his elder years. If he does that, he'll be on the right track. After Lowry, Marc Gasol has an intriguing Hall of Fame case as a Defensive Player of the Year, a three-time All-Star, part of an iconic Memphis team and a very successful player on the international scene. I didnt use this one last year, but its a good indicator of which active players could be next. But close your eyes and imagine this: The year is 2025, and the Knicks are in the Eastern Conference finals thanks to RJ Barrett's playmaking and Mitchell Robinson's prowess in the paint. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. *New to active locks. Being a perennial MVP candidate and five-time All-Star doesnt hurt either.. At the t There are players that have been inducted in the past that aren't necessarily predictive of future While being outside the top 100 sounds less-than-exclusive, every hall-eligible player from No. The Hornets have some good young talent. Philadelphias .692 winning percentage ranked third in the NBA throughout the month. Dallas Cowboys: Tyron Smith, LT. Current Hall of Fame "lock"? But what about the 75? But this is about who is most likely. His BBRHOFP is 60 percent, so, it could happen. The Timberwolves' return to the lottery has cast doubts about Towns' ability to translate his prodigious statistics into team success, and as Towns heads into his prime years, he'll have to lead Minnesota deeper in the playoffs to stay on the path to the Hall. Embiid's glad to be doing his own thing. Outside of LeBron James, he is the lock of locks among current players. It's a pretty safe bet that Doncic will accomplish enough in the NBA to merit first-ballot status. Active, near-locks: Luka Doni*, Joel Embiid*, Paul . Do you have a sports website? Trae Young has a shot at the Hall of Fame, obviously, but he has a long way to go before he becomes anything close to the sure thing Carter is. Injuries robbed Rose of his full potential, but his basketball rsum still includes being the 2009 NBA Rookie of the Year, 2011 All-NBA First Team, a three-time All-Star, the No. There are 18 hall-eligible players with four All-NBA nods and all but two are in the Hall of Fame. What if he makes two or three more All-Star teams in Boston and wins an NBA title to go with his NCAA championship? NBA/ABA. Subscribe to Stathead Basketball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Basketball Reference Database. Plus, if he plays 15 seasons and accumulates the counting stats, hell be in Springfield, no doubt. With his lumbering, well-paced style, high intellect and still-evolving game, Jokic is going to be a force in the league for at least a decade. . Top 100 RSCI : 16 (2013) cole : Kansas. The list of predictor variables is: Keep in mind that this exercise aims to predict who is likely to be inducted, as a Player, and based solely EIGHTEEN months ago, Joel Embiid told SunSport he would end up in the NBA Hall of Fame. Ever since he was drafted fourth overall by the Philadelphia 76ers in 2014, Joel Embiid has been compared to Hall of Fame center Bill Walton. For all of his accomplishments, and despite being underrated throughout his career, Al Horford is not one yet. Join our linker program. But the Clippers forward should be heading to Springfield when he hangs up his jersey for good. The more interesting Blazers case is Damian Lillard, who is still building his rsum but is improving his chances with four All-NBA appearances and a fifth likely this season. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. More than likely, yet the difference between him and, say, any other one-time MVP is sustained excellence. (Dont look now, but DeMar DeRozan is No. Join us for a March Madness Webinar on Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm ET. Hall of Fame; POD. likely voters are more attuned to statistical output, however refined, than they were through the 1980s. By contrast, Beal is just coming into his own at age 26. So, gaze upon this group of players weve mentioned above and realize we have been watching an unprecedented group of exquisitely talented players. And as a key to three title teams, Draymond Green will have a good case, too. His blend of speed, size, power and toughness has seldom been seen in NBA history. position and not in the sure-fire Hall of Famer section. Embiid posted at least 30 points in 10 games, joining Hall of Famers Wilt Chamberlain and Iverson as the only 76ers to have double-digit 30-point outings in the month of December. Durability issues would be the only reason to doubt him. The season before, Embiids hang-up was two-fold: he missed too many games and couldnt stop the stats machine that was Jokic. Aldridge is 48th in NBA career points while Griffin has a Rookie of the Year award. Kareem has held that record for 38 seasons, more than half the time the NBA has been in existence. The biggest difference between Rose and Walton is Walton has a Finals MVP, two NBA titles and was one of the greatest college players ever. As I noted last year, Rose is the only NBA MVP that we cant call a lock for the hall. inductions. Among the players getting inducted are Paul Pierce, Chris Bosh, Ben Wallace, and Chris Webber. Or even a near lock? Embiid is getting much, much closer to Springfield because he has one of the big four: a scoring title, which he won last season, becoming the first center to do so since Shaquille ONeal. Leading the Heat to a title might make him a fringe candidate. be elected to the Hall of Fame?". The point total for the game is set at 225.5. In the News: L. James, K. Durant, J. Embiid . After hearing this news, Bulls radio play-by-play commentator Chuck Swirsky got me thinking about whether or not induction to the Hall of Fame may one day be the last chapter in DeMars basketball story. joel embiid hall of fame probability. Embiid finished with 26 points, 10 rebounds and three assists for the game, his first against former teammate Ben Simmons. The debate over Anthony's Hall of Fame credentials during his time out of the NBA was surely a waste of time. They're in their prime, but Harden and Westbrook could retire right now and be no-brainer Hall of Famers, regardless of their ringless status. Voepel. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Yes, Nikola Vucevic is a nightly 20-10 threat. So, lets have some fun and look at the active and recently retired players who are more than likely headed for enshrinement in Springfield. And he won an assist title. Ahead of Saturday's announcement of the full class, our NBA experts examined which player on each current NBA roster -- from the locks to the long shots -- is on track to join the all-time greats in Springfield, Massachusetts. Before Thursday's game with the 76ers, the Dallas Mavericks coach was asked if he saw a comparison between Joel Embiid and Hall of Fame center Hakeem Olajuwon. Love has a title, a 2011 Most Improved Player award, the same season he led the NBA in rebounding and is a five-time All-Star. Hardens spent the summer getting his body right and training, allaying any fears that he might need time settling into the season before being 100%. on NBA accomplishments and statistical output. who touched fame, but were unable to enjoy it to the end. . Every hall-eligible NBA single-season scoring champ is in the hall, except for one: Max Zaslofsky. His future is extremely bright if he keeps improving. Every hall-eligible player who has won All-Star MVP is in the hall, except for Adrian Smith (1966), Randy Smith (1978), Tom Chambers (1987) and Glen Rice (1997). With Philadelphia holding a 14-point lead, Embiid was fouled on a layup by Brooklyn's Joe Harris. Of course, all projections for Williamson are contingent upon him staying on the floor and on the trajectory we've seen in his 19 NBA games since he returned from a knee injury. When Towns was named All-NBA after his third season at age 22, he appeared to be on a Hall of Fame track. Through lots of hard work and coffee, Butler has forged himself into a great NBA player and one who is in the HOF mix. Hes played center, but hes been one of the premier stretch-fours of this era. Thats right, Luka isnt on the BBRHOFP.