Poston. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Cameron Young Primed for Breakthrough, Fantasy Golf Sleepers & GPP Picks for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups This Week, RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups, DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Jason Day, FanDuel Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Scottie Scheffler, PGA DFS Top 5 Sleepers: The Northern Trust DraftKings + FanDuel Picks This Week with Phil Mickelson | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Bryson DeChambeau, Top 5 PGA DFS Value Plays: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Shane Lowry | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: Wyndham Championship PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Championship DFS Picks Final Round DraftKings Fantasy Golf Picks & Predictions, Above the Cut: PGA DFS Advice & Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel, The Stokastic PGA DFS Content Schedule | When and Where to Find All Our Free & Premium Content, PGA DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy Guide. Yes, hes first in SG/total. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Keep it social. Rare company, to say the least. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. Millions in Winnings and Counting. Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. Play with friends. It just doesnt need to. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. . Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Immaculate; inching back to peak levels. Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! The 29-year-old pulled out in the second round of the Sentry with a sore back but feels ready to return. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? Hes posted two top-25 finishes in his past three starts and played well at Riviera for two rounds before fading to T-56. Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. Set a budget. Both of those weeks ended in a top 10 for Todd. At $9,900, this is the most expensive Chris Kirk has been on DraftKings since the 2021 Zurich Classic ($10,100)a team event. Another team with great chemistry. Were back with another edition of PGA His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise.